Thank you for Jazz yesterday ๐๐๐ผ
Good Morning Matthew. Youโve been heating up lately. I was 1 of 4 yesterday so made profit on dings for the 3rd straight day and 5 of the last 6. I havenโt bet any yet but I like these. James Wood (WAS) CJ Abrams (WAS) Jackson Merrill (SDP)
Jedi, itโs my birthday. Itโs gonna be a big day. I can feel it ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ Thanks for all you do, homes ๐๐ผ
Corey Seager Eugenio Suarez Byron Buxton Jo Adell Nick Kurtz
Appreciate all of the research and insight ๐ป
I like the new format, unit sizing the favorites a little more than the rest, worked out decent so far, at least now out of slump!
one thing ive been trying the past couple of days is looking at the ratio of good hits to plate appearances. so i look at what % of the pitcher's batted balls with xBA >.8 were against lefties/% of plate appearances that were against lefties. if the skill of lefties in the league is roughly equal to the skill of righties in the league (may not be true, i havent checked), then those ratios should be near 1. 60% of your PA were vs righties? 60% of your good contact should be against righties. base the picks off of what hand has the worst discrepancy. it's been giving interesting results. like yesterday it showed that michael wacha was more likely to get hit well by a righty, and he gave up 2 to arozarena. and for TB, it showed that jacob lopez and drew rasmussen were both way more likely to get hit well by righties, giving up HRs to junior caminero and shea langeliers despite the park being better for lefties. barrels become home runs about 53% of the time, but a batted ball with a xBA above .8 becomes a hit 91% of the time, so i think it might describe a pitcher's general weak spots better today, the batters facing pitchers with the biggest discrepancies are R on CIN (45 inning sample size) R on LAD (74 inning sample size) L on MIL R on COL (40 inning sample size) L on ARI L on SFG R on SEA L on STL L on MIN L on HOU (62 inning sample size) L on KCR L on NYY R on MIA R on NYM R on CWS R on PHI R on PIT R on TEX (12 inning sample size) R on CLE L on OAK L on BAL R on SDP R on TBR R on LAA this is NOT a comment on which pitchers are likely to give up home runs, just which pitchers have the most lopsided good contact/plate appearance ratio
I want to add the last time ketel marte saw birdsong he homered also Suarez hit 2 off him i like the either or line Suarez-Marte i got it at +160 .75 units
Love your data man jus came across it two days ago keep it up
Lol.. Took me long enough to figure this out. Thanks Jedi
Soto Acuna Kurtz Seager (4 leg parlay)
another great day letโs go matt!!
We gotta sweep the board eventually bro!!! Let's it be today i parlay your top 3 used the dinger boost on fan duel 20 bucks for 2500!!!
Holmes is pitching for the braves it says
Needed Wood to hit a 3 leg Sunday. All those walks were brutal. Lol
Great call on jazz
Up two units because of you! Great start to July and great way to end June.
I've been meaning to ask. Matt & everyone else here, do you guys bet on awards? Roy, mvp, etc. Those are some of my favorite bets to make. I also like betting on how many dongs for the year players will have, although Santander is prov going to ruin the bets I put in this year.
Nice work on Jazz n Nick Castellanos. Did you see max Kepler homer getting robbed in the bottom 3rd?
@JediModi